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Political analyst: Akin still has a chance

Chad Groening   (OneNewsNow.com) Wednesday, September 05, 2012

A political analyst and former Republican leader thinks Missouri Congressman Todd Akin (R) can win the Senate race in that state, despite all the fallout over his highly publicized gaff.

A recent Real Clear Politics projection predicts that the Republicans will have a net gain of four Senate seats, creating a 51-49 advantage for Republicans in the next congressional session. RCP's compilation of polls also indicates that Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Missouri) will hold on to her seat. Republican challenger Todd Akin was been expected to win before the misstep in which he used the term "legitimate rape." He has fervently apologized about that remark.

Pauken, TomTom Pauken served on Ronald Reagan's White House staff and later became chairman of the Republican Party of Texas. He points out that Akin has had a solid record as both a social and economic conservative, so he is disappointed that members of Akin's own party continue to throw him under the bus (see earlier story).

"If you run away from somebody the way a bunch of the Republicans did, it makes it tougher for him to win," he remarks. "I think they should have thought this thing through and dealt with it privately, rather than go public and blast him. It really feeds into the Democrat Party propaganda against him."

Meanwhile, Pauken says Akin's GOP critics do not seem to care about McCaskill's record.

"His opponent is very left-wing, pro-abortion," he notes. "She's a hundred percent behind the Obama agenda. So, I think he still has a chance to pull that race out."

In fact, a recent poll of likely Missouri voters commissioned by the Family Research Council shows Akin regaining his lead over McCaskill by a 45-percent to 42-percent margin, with 13 percent undecided.

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