A political scientist and presidential election pundit says
there's a good chance Mitt Romney will be America's next president,
if history is any indication.
Presidential tracking polls have started to reflect the
impact of Mitt Romney's debate victory last week. For example, a RealClearPolitics compilation of national
polls shows Romney with a one-point lead over President Obama, and
a Pew Research poll has Romney ahead by four
Dr. Charles W. Dunn of Regent
University's Robertson School of Government says the Pew poll
is significant because it covers likely voters.
"The candidate who wins the first debate and the first poll
after that usually wins the White House," he reports. "So,
[Romney's] won the debate, and he has won the first poll, namely
Pew, after that; and so the likelihood is that he will, given that
point of history, go on to win."
And Dunn even expects the Electoral College to shift in Romney's
"It's doable because what are we seeing? Movement in those
states -- movement in Ohio and Florida, for example, and in
Virginia in the Romney direction," the professor explains. "Some of
them have clearly moved into the Romney column, so that bodes well
in the swing states."
Right now, the RCP electoral map still favors Obama.