So far, so good for Romney

Friday, October 12, 2012
 | 
Chad Groening (OneNewsNow.com)

A political scientist and presidential election pundit says there's a good chance Mitt Romney will be America's next president, if history is any indication.

Presidential tracking polls have started to reflect the impact of Mitt Romney's debate victory last week. For example, a RealClearPolitics compilation of national polls shows Romney with a one-point lead over President Obama, and a Pew Research poll has Romney ahead by four points.

Dunn, Charles (Regent Univ.)Dr. Charles W. Dunn of Regent University's Robertson School of Government says the Pew poll is significant because it covers likely voters.

"The candidate who wins the first debate and the first poll after that usually wins the White House," he reports. "So, [Romney's] won the debate, and he has won the first poll, namely Pew, after that; and so the likelihood is that he will, given that point of history, go on to win."

And Dunn even expects the Electoral College to shift in Romney's favor.

"It's doable because what are we seeing? Movement in those states -- movement in Ohio and Florida, for example, and in Virginia in the Romney direction," the professor explains. "Some of them have clearly moved into the Romney column, so that bodes well in the swing states."

Right now, the RCP electoral map still favors Obama.

We moderate all reader comments, usually within 24 hours of posting (longer on weekends). Please limit your comment to 300 words or less and ensure it addresses the article - NOT another reader's comments. Comments that contain a link (URL), an inordinate number of words in ALL CAPS, rude remarks directed at other readers, or profanity/vulgarity will not be approved. More details

SIGN UP FOR OUR DAILY NEWSBRIEF

SUBSCRIBE

VOTE IN OUR POLL

Is it fair to blame President Obama for much of the racial tension now in America?

CAST YOUR VOTE

GET PUSH NOTIFICATIONS

SUBSCRIBE

LATEST AP HEADLINES

Reid asks FBI to probe threat of Russian election tampering
1 killed, several injured in south Georgia school bus crash
Slain NM girl's relatives mystified over mom's role
Hurricane watch issued as storm nears Hawaii's Big Island
1 dead, 4 hurt in highway shootout; bullet holes cover SUV
Takata troubles worsen as truck explodes, kills Texas woman
Clinton aide leaving husband after another sexting scandal
Mylan launching cheaper, generic version of EpiPen

LATEST FROM THE WEB

So, we've lost track of hundreds of thousands of guns in Iraq and Afghanistan
Iran confrontations with US Navy double from last year, more frequent than thought
10 prominent doctors question Hillary's health
ISIS suicide bomber tries to kill priest with axe, blow up hundreds of Christians at Indonesian church
Hillary is a desperate bigot

CARTOON OF THE DAY

Cartoon of the Day

REASON & COMPANY

NEXT STORY
Military man unqualified for office?

A retired Army colonel who served with the elite Special Forces -- and who is now running for Congress -- is being accused by his Democratic congressional opponent of being unqualified to serve in Congress.