A conservative activist and pro-family leader is becoming more confident that Mitt Romney will be elected president next week. But the leader of a Messianic Jewish ministry, hoping to encourage her fellow Christians, warns American-Muslim voters could greatly influence the outcome.
A recent RealClearPolitics compilation of national polls showed Mitt Romney with a 0.2-percent lead over Barack Obama; at press time, that compilation showed the race to be a dead heat. Romney's biggest lead among major pollsters was five points, according to Gallup. A National Journal poll, in contrast, showed Obama with a five-point lead.
Gary Bauer, chairman of the Campaign for Working Families, believes the Gallup survey is based on a more realistic model than that of the others.
"Gallup's projections are that the makeup of the electorate on Election Day is going to be a plus-one in the direction of the Republicans," he explains. "Well, all the polling that we're seeing that show Obama winning has a makeup of the electorate where the Democrats are plus-four, five or even as high as nine. So if the electorate ends up being plus-one Republican, we could see a relatively easy win by Governor Romney."
While Bauer is still worried about last-minute surprises, he is growing more and more confident about how election night will end. But the leader of a Messianic Jewish ministry in Minnesota warns that American-Muslim voters could "tip this election."
Jan Markell, founder and director of Olive Tree Ministries, does not think anyone should be surprised by the newly released survey that shows Muslims overwhelmingly plan to vote for Barack Obama next week.
According to the poll commissioned by the radical Council on American-Islamic Relations, 68 percent of respondents will vote for President Obama November 6, while only seven percent will vote for Romney. Twenty-five percent indicate they are undecided.
Markell points out that Obama has done many things to secure the American-Islamic vote.
"They've seen Barack Obama's pro-Islam policies here, and they've seen his anti-Israel stand, and I think many of them are in agreement with that," she notes. "The Republican Party has been pro-Israel and remains that way today, so my hunch is that a huge percentage of America's Muslim population [is] going to stand behind Barack Hussein Obama."
The Olive Tree Ministries founder is concerned about CAIR's claim that 91 percent of registered Muslim voters will vote.
"They could tip this election just like the Jews could tip this election," Markell asserts. "When it's so close like this, then your minority populations can actually have a huge, huge influence on an election."
If 91 percent of registered Muslims do vote, she suggests it will shame the non-Muslim voters across the country.