Expert: Polls wrong … Trump can beat Hillary, Sanders

Friday, February 26, 2016
Chad Groening (

Donald Trump mean decisiveA Republican strategist and former staffer under the Ronald Reagan administration is not taking much stock with polls that show Donald Trump losing to both Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders in possible head-to-head general election matchups this fall.

Despite the projections, political expert Tom Pauken advises Americans not to take much stock in recent polls that indicate Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump cannot beat his potential Democratic presidential rivals Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders in the upcoming November election.

Even though the controversial billionaire candidate is the GOP frontrunner by a wide margin in many polls and three of the four Republican primaries so far, Trump loses to the former first lady, Hillary Clinton, by 2.6 percent — in a Real Clear Politics (RCP) average of head-to-head polls against the Democratic frontrunner.

However, Pauken, who served on Ronald Reagan's White House staff and later became chairman of the Republican Party of Texas, says that he doesn't agree with those who don't think Trump can beat her.

"I know it's a high-risk situation with regard to him being the nominee,” Pauken concedes. “But I don't underestimate his ability to win a general election against Hillary Clinton — if he were the nominee."

In an RCP average against Bernie Sanders, Trump loses to the self-proclaimed socialist by an average of 6 points — a margin that is nearly four points higher than the former secretary of state has against the GOP leader.

Pauken believes voters do not understand how far to the Left Sanders really is. 

"He and his first wife honeymooned in the Soviet Union,” the conservative from Texas points out. “He's pro-communist Cuba. He's pro-Sandinistas in Nicaragua.”

After noting the many hard-Left stances Sanders takes that allegedly jeopardize the economic security — and national security — of the United States, Pauken argues that electing Sanders into the White House would be a disaster for America.

“The guy is absolutely terrible and he's not being held accountable,” the 72-year-old lifetime Republican contends. “If anything, Hillary is trying to prove she's as Left-wing as Sanders.”

Despite the relatively good showing Sanders has had so far in early presidential primaries and national polls, Pauken is quite positive that if voters still seriously consider the socialist candidate in November, his number of supporters will have substantially diminished.

“In a general election it will be very different,” the Texan argues. “And I think he's a very scary candidate."  

Furthermore, Pauken does not believe that voters should base their decisions on who they think should be the next president on results provided by pollsters.  

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