Do GOP moderates see writing on the wall?

Thursday, September 14, 2017
Chad Groening (

EXIT sign (green)A public policy analyst contends the American people are showing a "patently obvious" proclivity for constitutionally faithful conservatives – and that that may have precipitated some moderate Republicans not to seek re-election.

Since the inauguration of President Trump, a string of moderate Republicans have announced they aren't seeking re-election in 2018. The latest is two-term Congressman Dave Trott of Michigan, who said in a statement Monday that he'd decided after careful consideration "that the best course for me is to spend more time with my family and return to the private sector."

Other moderate House Republicans not seeking re-election include Charlie Dent of Pennsylvania, Dave Reichert of Washington, and Ileana Ros-Lehtinen of Florida. And even Tennessee Senator Bob Corker, who has been very openly critical of President Trump, hasn't yet decided about 2018. Corker's pending decision is significant because of the GOP's current 52-48 majority in the Senate. Regardless, the Tennessee race is rated as "solid Republican."

Abraham Hamilton III, general counsel and public policy analyst for the American Family Association, predicts the American people will respond in 2018.


"It's pretty clear that what we are all saying at this moment about President Donald Trump is evidence of the American people's unwillingness to be led like lambs to the slaughter by the establishmentarian 'Republicrats,'" he tells OneNewsNow. "And I say 'Republicrats' because the closer you get to the top of the Washington swamp, there's not much difference."

Hamilton expects many moderates who choose to run again will face conservative challengers next year.

"I think this is patently obvious. I think the Georgia congressional race and some others have born this out," he offers.

"When the American people are presented with a choice of constitutionally faithful, conservative policy-espousing candidates versus liberal, anti-God, big government regressives, I think the overwhelming majority of the time the people will go with the constitutional conservatives."

A recent poll by McLaughlin & Associates bears out Hamilton's assertions. CEO John McLaughlin told American Family Radio this week that the numbers appear particularly problematic for those moderate Republicans who have decided not to seek re-election next year.

"... They know that they wouldn't be able to get through these primaries if ... a more solid Trump supporter [is] available for the voters to vote for," said McLaughlin.

He cited as an example a poll question asking voters if they would be "less likely" or "more likely" to support members of Congress who want transgenders in the military. Overall, 52 percent were less likely – but among those who voted for Trump in November, 69 percent were less likely.

"The bottom line on all of those questions that we tested is the voters of either a majority or plurality support the president's agenda and are less likely to vote for members of Congress if they don't support his agenda," he stated.

Other questions in the poll addressed such issues as the debt ceiling, ObamaCare repeal, funding of Planned Parenthood, and immigration. The survey also found that 63 percent of those polled believe it's time for new Republican leadership in Congress.

The poll by McLaughlin & Associates was commissioned by the Center for Security Policy and Eagle Forum. It surveyed 1,000 general election voters who are likely to vote for Congress next year.

Editor's Note: The American Family Association is the parent organization of the American Family News Network, which operates

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