Prediction: Blackburn can pull out a win

Tuesday, August 7, 2018
 | 
Chad Groening (OneNewsNow.com)

Marsha Blackburn campaign ad stillA conservative congresswoman, down a few points in polling, remains positioned to win a U.S. Senate seat in Tennessee, predicts a longtime political analyst.

There were no surprises in last week's Republican and Democratic primaries in the Volunteer State, where Rep. Marsha Blackburn easily won the GOP nomination and the state's former governor, Phil Bredesen (pictured below), won the Democratic nomination.

Voters will decide which of the two well-known politicians will succeed Bob Corker, the former Chattanooga mayor who is not seeking re-election.

According to a compilation of polls by RealClearPolitics, Bredesen currently has a four-and-a-half point lead over Blackburn.

Phil BredesenDr. Charles Dunn, professor emeritus of government at Clemson University, says Blackburn has one advantage heading into November: the support of President Trump.

Comparing the Democrat and his Republican opponent, Dunn says Tennessee voters are observing an "old, wealthy, Harvard-educated man" versus a "dynamic, young Republican woman," who now has the President's endorsement.

So, despite the current polling, Dunn says Blackburn is in a better position than Bredesen.

The polling at RealClearPolitics shows only two polls, July polling from Emerson and a Mason-Dixon poll from April, that showed Bredesen with a 43-37 and 46-43 advantage, respectively, over Blackburn. 

While pointing out that it's been difficult for Democrats to win a statewide office in Tennessee, RealClearPolitics considers the Senate election a toss-up likely due to the close polling numbers.  

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